Lineage-Stable Wildfire Geometry
Sharp growth bounds, detection-footprint witnesses, and shared-history evaluation
Define fire growth relative to a fixed incident lineage and compatible spatial histories, rather than combining incomparable boundaries. Finite geometry primitives and a small public scalar audit support the proposed research method.
- Identifier
- MF-PRISM-FIRE-2026-03
- Series
- Wildfire Intelligence
- Edition
- Version 0.2
- Length
- 22 pages
- Reserved DOI
- 10.5281/zenodo.22727590 (record reserved)
What is this paper trying to establish?
How can wildfire geometry be compared through time without mixing different incident lineages or incompatible boundaries?
The central idea.
Define fire growth relative to a fixed incident lineage and compatible spatial histories, rather than combining incomparable boundaries. Finite geometry primitives and a small public scalar audit support the proposed research method.
Conditional geometric bounds, synthetic checks, and a limited public scalar audit. No real-fire geometry model has been validated. Research only; not an official emergency warning.
This report develops a conditional method and evaluates it within the stated evidence. It does not establish production performance, operational safety, or calibrated real-world predictive skill beyond that evidence.
What changes if the method holds?
Merges, splits, attribution changes, and sensor footprints can make apparent perimeter growth meaningless. A lineage-stable method keeps the comparison object fixed.
Where scrutiny should concentrate.
The paper identifies the following points as the highest-value targets for independent review.
- 01Merges, splits, attribution and fixed support.
- 02Detection footprints versus observed burned-area boundaries.
- 03Feasible shared histories and numerical endpoint certificates.
An open, inspectable research artifact.
The public record links the manuscript to its release, source package, review materials, and persistent identifier. Status travels with the paper; a reserved DOI is not presented as a published Zenodo record.
- Document
- Research Paper
- Review status
- Open for independent review
- Published
- 2026-09-12
- DOI status
- Reserved · 10.5281/zenodo.22727590
- Canonical record
- MF-PRISM-FIRE-2026-03